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Forecasters Say Chances Are El Niño Won't End California's Drought

Sep 4, 2014

Forecasters say the chances are diminishing that El Niño will bring rain to California.
Credit National Weather Service - Hanford

Forecasters say the chances are diminishing that El Niño will bring rain to California. Ed Joyce reports from Sacramento.

The NOAA Climate Prediction Center analysis shows a 60-to-65 percent chance of the warm ocean condition known as El Niño developing this fall and winter. The report also indicates a strong El Niño is not expected and a weak event is likely.

Michelle Mead is a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Sacramento.

She says a weak El Niño won't end the California drought. 

Mead: "Unfortunately there is very little correlation between weak El Niño events and above normal precipitation.”

Mead says El Niño events are tied to potential for a wet winter in Southern California and a 'poor predictor' of winter rain across Northern California.

She says next month's analysis could provide more certainty whether El Niño will develop at all.